| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.4% | 53% | +3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.6% | 44.3% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Jan Kumstat | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1720 | 1704 |
| Surface Elo | 1720 | 1704 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |