| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.8% | 46% | +12.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Denver Broncos | Los Angeles Rams | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | 0.03 | |
| form diff | 0.12 | |
| rest diff | 0.17 | |
| home field | 1.00 | |
| point diff | -0.12 | |
| opponent strength diff | 0.14 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-09-27T00:20:00+00:00 | |
| 20 Sep | H | Jacksonville Jaguars | 20 - 13 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Kansas City Chiefs | 10 - 31 | L |
| 25 Jan | H | New England Patriots | 7 - 10 | L |
| 17 Jan | H | Buffalo Bills | 33 - 30 | W |
| 04 Jan | H | Los Angeles Chargers | 19 - 3 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | New York Giants | 28 - 6 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | San Francisco 49ers | 7 - 27 | L |
| 25 Jan | A | Seattle Seahawks | 27 - 31 | L |
| 18 Jan | A | Chicago Bears | 20 - 17 | W |
| 10 Jan | A | Carolina Panthers | 34 - 31 | W |
| 25 Dec 2022 | Los Angeles Rams | 51 - 14 | Denver Broncos |
| 14 Oct 2018 | Denver Broncos | 20 - 23 | Los Angeles Rams |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.08 | 48.1% | 27 Sep 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.3% | 27 Sep 21:20 |