| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.6% | 79% | -10.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 78.9% | 21.0% |
| logistic | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | Alec Deckers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1649 | 1497 |
| Surface Elo | 1649 | 1497 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Michael Agwi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Fausto Tabacco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Diogo Morais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Fellows, J | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Basing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |