| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 57% | -2.6% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.9% | 82% | -3.2% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.9% | 75% | -4.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 45% | +12.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.8% | 25.8% | 16.4% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 17.6% | 32.6% |
| logistic | 55.5% | 26.2% | 18.3% |
| Standard | Kortrijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1547 | 1410 |
| Surface Elo | 1547 | 1410 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Genk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | FCV Dender EH | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Charleroi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Charleroi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Genk | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Genk | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Beveren | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Waasland-Beveren | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | RAAL La Louviere | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Standard | 1 - 0 | Kortrijk |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Kortrijk | 1 - 0 | Standard |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Standard | 0 - 1 | Kortrijk |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Kortrijk | 1 - 1 | Standard |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Standard | 0 - 2 | Kortrijk |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Kortrijk | 0 - 1 | Standard |
| 20 Mar 2022 | Kortrijk | 0 - 1 | Standard |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Standard | 1 - 1 | Kortrijk |
| 16 Dec 2020 | Kortrijk | 2 - 1 | Standard |
| 20 Sep 2020 | Standard | 2 - 1 | Kortrijk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.66 | 21.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.95 | 25.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |