OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-29
🎾 ATP Challenger Bari, Italy Men Singles · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 10:20 UTC · finished
Massimo Giunta 0.60 2 - 0 1.80 Federico Arnaboldi
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 53.1%48%+5.5%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov52.0%48.0%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost51.3%48.6%
logistic40.3%59.7%
Inputs the models saw
Massimo GiuntaFederico Arnaboldi
Elo (pre-match)14051490
Surface Elo14051490
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game0.002.00
Season goals for / game1.001.33
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days132
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Massimo Giunta: last 5
28 SepACarlos Taberner0 - 2L
28 SepAFederico Arnaboldi2 - 0W
15 SepAMika Brunold1 - 2L
14 SepHMika Brunold1 - 2L
07 SepHThiago Seyboth Wild0 - 2L
Federico Arnaboldi: last 5
28 SepHMassimo Giunta0 - 2L
27 SepHFederico Iannaccone2 - 1W
23 SepAMarvin Moeller0 - 2L
21 SepHFlorian Broska2 - 0W
21 SepHMarvin Moeller0 - 2L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Federico Arnaboldi0 - 2Massimo Giunta
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1047.6%29 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6959.2%29 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:30 UTC