| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.8% | 79% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.7% | 26.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| logistic | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| Maria Sakkari | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1661 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1661 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 57 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nao Hibino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Robin Montgomery | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Anastasia Zakharova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Barbora Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Iryna Shymanovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | Maria Sakkari |
| 02 Oct 2023 | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | Maria Sakkari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.35 | 23.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |