OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ La Liga 2 · Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:15 UTC · finished
Girona 1.60 0 - 1 2.20 Almeria
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.1%49%-1.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.4%78%-3.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.7%68%-4.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 48.4%50%-1.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.1%23.1%25.8%
xgboost44.2%29.1%26.8%
logistic45.2%26.8%28.1%
Inputs the models saw
GironaAlmeria
Elo (pre-match)15631597
Surface Elo15631597
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.602.20
Form trend0.000.60
Season points per game1.752.17
Season goals for / game1.831.92
Season goals against / game0.920.83
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Girona: last 5
08 NovHUE Olot4 - 0W
31 OctASociedad0 - 1L
31 OctASociedad B0 - 1L
27 OctACD Cuarte2 - 0W
25 OctHNaxara CD3 - 0W
Almeria: last 5
01 NovHChurriana de la Vega CF0 - 0D
31 OctAEibar1 - 1D
31 OctAEibar1 - 1D
27 OctAUD Castellonense0 - 0D
24 OctHOviedo2 - 2D
Head to head
14 Jan 2024Almeria0 - 0Girona
22 Oct 2023Girona5 - 2Almeria
17 Feb 2023Girona6 - 2Almeria
20 Oct 2022Almeria3 - 2Girona
27 Mar 2022Almeria0 - 1Girona
04 Oct 2021Girona1 - 2Almeria
07 Mar 2021Girona0 - 1Almeria
01 Nov 2020Almeria0 - 0Girona
09 Jul 2020Girona1 - 0Almeria
17 Sep 2019Almeria3 - 1Girona
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.0025.0%08 Nov 15:15
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%08 Nov 15:15
Bet3651X2home1.8653.8%08 Nov 15:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7557.1%08 Nov 15:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0548.8%08 Nov 15:15
SportyBet1X2away3.5028.6%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0548.8%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7955.9%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC