| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.7% | 85% | -8.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.6% | 86.3% |
| logistic | 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Franco Roncadelli | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Juan Sebastian Gomez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Ramos Vargas, Ricardo Sebastian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Nick Hardt | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.22 | 82.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.00 | 25.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |