| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 53% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.1% | 82% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.9% | 73% | -7.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 54% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.9% | 27.1% | 23.0% |
| xgboost | 45.9% | 26.4% | 27.7% |
| logistic | 46.6% | 29.5% | 24.0% |
| Benevento | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1457 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1457 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Latina Calcio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Cremonese | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Cremonese | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Cremonese | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Pisa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Pisa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Ascoli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.89 | 52.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |