| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 37.9% | 35% | +2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.2% | 74% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 51.9% | 49% | +3.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 50% | +2.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.8% | 28.3% | 39.9% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 30.8% | 35.8% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 28.0% | 30.1% |
| Le Havre | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1521 | 1642 |
| Surface Elo | 1521 | 1642 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.25 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 30 Oct | H | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 5 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 5 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Marseille | 3 - 4 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Marseille | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Auxerre | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Brest | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Angers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Angers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Monaco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Monaco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Lorient | 0 - 2 | Le Havre |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | Lorient |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Lorient | 3 - 3 | Le Havre |
| 03 Sep 2023 | Le Havre | 3 - 0 | Lorient |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Le Havre | 2 - 2 | Lorient |
| 17 May 2019 | Le Havre | 2 - 3 | Lorient |
| 28 Jul 2018 | Lorient | 0 - 0 | Le Havre |
| 05 Mar 2018 | Lorient | 1 - 0 | Le Havre |
| 02 Oct 2017 | Le Havre | 3 - 2 | Lorient |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.58 | 38.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.86 | 35.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.99 | 50.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |