OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Airdrie Utd 1.40 1 - 0 3.00 Montrose
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.4%57%-7.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 74.8%84%-9.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 65.5%75%-9.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 48.1%48%+0.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.7%26.1%25.2%
xgboost46.0%28.7%25.3%
logistic49.0%26.4%24.6%
Inputs the models saw
Airdrie UtdMontrose
Elo (pre-match)14731471
Surface Elo14731471
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.403.00
Form trend-0.800.00
Season points per game1.131.88
Season goals for / game0.751.63
Season goals against / game1.381.63
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Airdrie Utd: last 5
19 SepAPeterhead2 - 1W
12 SepHAlloa1 - 0W
05 SepAQueen of Sth1 - 2L
29 AugHEast Fife0 - 0D
22 AugHRoss County1 - 3L
Montrose: last 5
26 SepAKelty Hearts1 - 2L
22 SepAFormartine United2 - 3L
19 SepAEast Fife2 - 1W
19 SepAEast Fife2 - 1W
12 SepHCove Rangers2 - 1W
Head to head
08 Apr 2023Airdrie Utd3 - 0Montrose
23 Dec 2022Montrose2 - 4Airdrie Utd
29 Oct 2022Airdrie Utd4 - 0Montrose
04 Oct 2022Montrose4 - 2Airdrie Utd
09 Apr 2022Montrose2 - 2Airdrie Utd
12 Feb 2022Airdrie Utd4 - 1Montrose
07 Dec 2021Montrose2 - 1Airdrie Utd
31 Jul 2021Airdrie Utd0 - 3Montrose
27 Apr 2021Airdrie Utd2 - 1Montrose
10 Apr 2021Montrose2 - 2Airdrie Utd
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.8554.0%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%03 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:03 UTC