| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.7% | 65% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.8% | 64.2% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Marco Cecchinato | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1652 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1652 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Olle Wallin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Tristan Boyer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Tristan Boyer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | Vilius Gaubas |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | Vilius Gaubas |
| 08 Jul 2024 | Marco Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | Vilius Gaubas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |