| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.6% | 64% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 70.0% |
| logistic | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Polona Hercog | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1410 | 1484 |
| Surface Elo | 1410 | 1484 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 126 | 63 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 May | A | Anna Bondar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Emma Raducanu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Anastasija Sevastova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Petra Kvitova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Irina Camelia Begu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Martina Trevisan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Veronika Erjavec | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Jul | H | Panna Udvardy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Jul | A | Kaja Juvan | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.56 | 64.1% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |