OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Alloa 0.60 0 - 1 1.20 Queen of Sth
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.7%60%-10.2%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 76.8%87%-9.7%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 65.8%79%-12.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.3%62%-3.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.4%26.3%27.3%
xgboost48.1%28.7%23.2%
logistic49.1%25.9%25.0%
Inputs the models saw
AlloaQueen of Sth
Elo (pre-match)14431455
Surface Elo14431455
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend-0.60-0.30
Season points per game1.090.91
Season goals for / game1.091.09
Season goals against / game1.183.09
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Alloa: last 5
17 OctAEast Fife3 - 0W
17 OctAEast Fife3 - 0W
13 OctAAnnan Athletic0 - 0D
10 OctHHamilton0 - 3L
10 OctHHamilton0 - 3L
Queen of Sth: last 5
17 OctHRoss County1 - 7L
10 OctAPeterhead1 - 0W
03 OctHCove Rangers4 - 3W
19 SepAHamilton1 - 4L
15 SepARoss County0 - 8L
Head to head
22 Aug 2026Queen of Sth0 - 2Alloa
02 May 2026Alloa1 - 4Queen of Sth
14 Feb 2026Queen of Sth1 - 2Alloa
13 Dec 2025Alloa0 - 2Queen of Sth
04 Oct 2025Queen of Sth1 - 0Alloa
15 Mar 2025Queen of Sth3 - 2Alloa
11 Jan 2025Alloa1 - 1Queen of Sth
09 Nov 2024Queen of Sth1 - 1Alloa
03 Aug 2024Alloa0 - 0Queen of Sth
23 Mar 2024Alloa0 - 2Queen of Sth
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.8554.0%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6560.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC