| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.1% | 77% | -14.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.1% | 27.9% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Elsa Jacquemot | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1494 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1494 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Hannah Klugman | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Suzan Lamens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Alicia Dudeney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Viktoria Morvayova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Sofya Lansere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Marina Bassols Ribera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Ankita Raina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Amelie Brooks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Anouk Koevermans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Novak, Kristina | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 28 Oct 06:15 |