| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.5% | 92% | -29.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 14.3% | 85.7% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Kris Van Wyk | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1493 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1493 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Liam Branger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | OGUNSAKIN, OLUWASEUN PETER | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Jul | H | Liam Draxl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Emilien Demanet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Jack Loge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Liu, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Antoine Ghibaudo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Denis Yevseyev | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.09 | 91.7% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.25 | 16.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |