| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.9% | 61% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Facundo Mena | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1644 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1644 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Renzo Olivo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Tomas Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tomas Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 07 Mar 2022 | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 15 Mar 2021 | Facundo Mena | 1 - 2 | Nicolas Kicker |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |