| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.7% | 78% | -19.5% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.1% | 95% | -14.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.0% | 93% | -18.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 41% | +7.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.6% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.5% | 24.0% | 20.5% |
| xgboost | 56.8% | 23.4% | 19.8% |
| logistic | 62.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% |
| Livingston | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1552 | 1475 |
| Surface Elo | 1552 | 1475 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 1.57 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 0 W · 3 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | A | Inverness C | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Spartans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Stenhousemuir | 3 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Stenhousemuir | 3 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Stenhousemuir | 4 - 3 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Stenhousemuir | 4 - 3 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Kelty Hearts | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Partick | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Partick | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Morton | 1 - 4 | Livingston |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Morton | 1 - 2 | Livingston |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Livingston | 3 - 2 | Morton |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Morton | 0 - 0 | Livingston |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Livingston | 1 - 1 | Morton |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Livingston | 3 - 2 | Morton |
| 13 Mar 2018 | Livingston | 1 - 1 | Morton |
| 27 Feb 2018 | Morton | 0 - 1 | Livingston |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Morton | 0 - 1 | Livingston |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.30 | 10.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.80 | 17.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |