| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.8% | 70% | -5.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.8% | 63.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.8% | 68.1% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Sonay Kartal | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1674 | 1772 |
| Surface Elo | 1674 | 1772 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maja Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Anastasia Zakharova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Anastasia Zakharova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Belinda Bencic | 0 - 2 | Sonay Kartal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |