OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Notts County 0.60 1 - 1 2.60 Stockport
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 51.4%64%-12.1%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 78.1%89%-11.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 68.2%83%-15.3%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.6%50%+4.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.9%26.2%49.9%
xgboost24.6%24.0%51.4%
logistic22.3%27.2%50.5%
Inputs the models saw
Notts CountyStockport
Elo (pre-match)14741591
Surface Elo14741591
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.602.60
Form trend-0.60-0.40
Season points per game1.002.00
Season goals for / game1.002.09
Season goals against / game1.301.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 2 D
Notts County: last 5
20 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 0W
20 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 0W
17 OctAWycombe0 - 2L
17 OctAWycombe0 - 2L
13 OctHNottingham Forest5 - 1W
Stockport: last 5
20 OctADoncaster2 - 0W
20 OctADoncaster2 - 0W
17 OctHBromley1 - 0W
17 OctHBromley1 - 0W
10 OctHBarnsley3 - 1W
Head to head
16 Apr 2024Notts County2 - 5Stockport
22 Dec 2023Stockport2 - 1Notts County
15 Mar 2022Stockport3 - 0Notts County
23 Oct 2021Notts County2 - 1Stockport
23 Feb 2021Stockport0 - 0Notts County
15 Dec 2020Notts County1 - 0Stockport
06 Aug 2019Notts County1 - 1Stockport
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.8155.2%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home4.2023.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8853.2%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9850.5%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.6261.7%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1024.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.4018.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9950.2%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC