| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.2% | 57% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.5% | 47.4% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Lukas Neumayer | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1709 | 1761 |
| Surface Elo | 1709 | 1761 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Olle Wallin | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Olle Wallin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 1 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |