| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.1% | 69% | -7.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| logistic | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Philip Henning | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1440 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1440 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Matas Ortega, X | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Arthur Nagel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Louis Wessels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Antoine Walch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Pierluigi Basile | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Daniele Rapagnetta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Cannon Kingsley | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |