| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.2% | 52% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.3% | 40.6% |
| xgboost | 44.6% | 52.8% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Minnesota Wild | Vegas Golden Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1626 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1626 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Florida Panthers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 3 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 6 - 2 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 4 | Minnesota Wild |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 5 | Minnesota Wild |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 01 May 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 2 | Minnesota Wild |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 4 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 5 - 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 23 Apr 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 5 | Minnesota Wild |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 2 | Minnesota Wild |
| 26 Mar 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 5 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.3% | 12 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.92 | 52.1% | 12 Oct 19:20 |