| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.8% | 34% | +8.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 71.6% | 71% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.9% | 49% | +4.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 38% | +16.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.4% | 34.5% | 28.1% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 29.8% | 32.2% |
| logistic | 31.3% | 31.2% | 37.5% |
| Getafe | Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1599 | 1654 |
| Surface Elo | 1599 | 1654 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.29 |
| Rest days | 9 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 6 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Albacete | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Oct | A | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | CD Guadalajara B | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Barcelona | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Barcelona | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | UD Sanse | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | CF Trival Valderas Alcoron | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Leganes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Espanol | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 May 2026 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Vallecano |
| 02 Jan 2026 | Vallecano | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 02 May 2025 | Vallecano | 1 - 0 | Getafe |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Vallecano |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Vallecano | 0 - 0 | Getafe |
| 02 Jan 2024 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Vallecano |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Getafe | 1 - 1 | Vallecano |
| 14 Oct 2022 | Vallecano | 0 - 0 | Getafe |
| 08 May 2022 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Vallecano |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Vallecano | 3 - 0 | Getafe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.75 | 36.4% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.44 | 69.4% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.06 | 32.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.65 | 37.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.50 | 66.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |