| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.1% | 57% | -9.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.3% | 79% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.3% | 76% | -14.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 58% | +3.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.0% | 24.2% | 24.8% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 24.7% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 39.0% | 28.2% | 32.8% |
| Norwich | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1521 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1521 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Swansea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Swansea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Reading | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Sheffield Utd | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Sheffield Utd | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Blackburn | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Norwich | 1 - 1 | Portsmouth |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Portsmouth | 1 - 2 | Norwich |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Norwich | 3 - 5 | Portsmouth |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | Norwich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.45 | 22.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.95 | 25.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |