| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.2% | 78% | -12.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| logistic | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Lilian Marmousez | Liam Gavrielides | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1439 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1439 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 262 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Talan Lopatic, Luka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Bruno Pujol Navarro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Reyniak, Matias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 May | H | Taro Daniel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Josh Manuel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | H | Martin Klizan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | H | Mikalai Haliak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jul | A | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |