| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.8% | 70% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| logistic | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Zhizhen Zhang | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1617 | 1826 |
| Surface Elo | 1617 | 1826 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 38 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | A | Tomas Machac | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Alex Molcan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Toby Samuel | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Pablo Carreno Busta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct 2026 | Tomas Machac | 2 - 1 | Zhizhen Zhang |
| 15 Aug 2022 | Tomas Machac | 2 - 1 | Zhizhen Zhang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 06 Oct 06:15 |