| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.2% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.7% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.9% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 24.9% | 24.0% | 51.1% |
| xgboost | 33.2% | 27.9% | 39.0% |
| logistic | 32.3% | 27.5% | 40.1% |
| Troyes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1552 | 1676 |
| Surface Elo | 1552 | 1676 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Angers | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Lille | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Strasbourg | 2 - 6 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Lorient | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Paris FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Rennes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Paris FC | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Monaco | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Strasbourg | 4 - 0 | W |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Marseille | 3 - 1 | Troyes |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Troyes | 0 - 2 | Marseille |
| 27 Feb 2022 | Troyes | 1 - 1 | Marseille |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Marseille | 1 - 0 | Troyes |
| 15 Apr 2018 | Troyes | 2 - 3 | Marseille |
| 20 Dec 2017 | Marseille | 3 - 1 | Troyes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||