| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.9% | 49% | -6.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 78% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.9% | 66% | -12.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 60% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.3% | 28.6% | 34.1% |
| xgboost | 37.6% | 25.1% | 37.2% |
| logistic | 36.5% | 27.8% | 35.6% |
| Sheffield Weds | Cambridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Doncaster | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Doncaster | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 5 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Plymouth | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Plymouth | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Wycombe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Wycombe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Barnsley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Sheffield Weds | 5 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Cambridge | 0 - 2 | Sheffield Weds |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Sheffield Weds | 6 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | Sheffield Weds |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.68 | 59.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |