OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-20
🎾 ATP Challenger Florence, Italy Men Singles · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 08:00 UTC · finished
Radu Mihai Papoe 1.80 0 - 2 0.00 Oriol Roca Batalla
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 61.7%72%-10.2%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov55.6%44.4%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost67.1%32.9%
logistic65.5%34.5%
Inputs the models saw
Radu Mihai PapoeOriol Roca Batalla
Elo (pre-match)16431494
Surface Elo16431494
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.00
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game2.251.29
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game0.501.14
Rest days16
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Radu Mihai Papoe: last 5
19 OctAOriol Roca Batalla0 - 2L
18 OctAGianluca Cadenasso1 - 2L
17 OctAFelix Gill1 - 0W
16 OctHZdenek Kolar2 - 0W
13 OctAMichele Ribecai2 - 0W
Oriol Roca Batalla: last 5
19 OctAMichele Ribecai0 - 2L
19 OctAFrancesco Forti2 - 1W
19 OctADimitris Sakellaridis2 - 0W
19 OctHRadu Mihai Papoe2 - 0W
13 OctHLuca Potenza0 - 1L
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Oriol Roca Batalla2 - 0Radu Mihai Papoe
17 Aug 2026Oriol Roca Batalla1 - 2Radu Mihai Papoe
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4369.9%20 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC