OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ Scotland Challenge Cup · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Kelty Hearts 1.20 2 - 1 3.00 Montrose
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.3%33%+15.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.3%83%-7.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.7%43%+16.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 85.0%75%+10.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 73.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson36.1%25.2%38.8%
xgboost42.1%23.4%34.5%
logistic38.1%27.7%34.2%
Inputs the models saw
Kelty HeartsMontrose
Elo (pre-match)13591471
Surface Elo13591471
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.203.00
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game0.000.00
Season goals for / game3.002.00
Season goals against / game5.003.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W4 W · 4 D
Kelty Hearts: last 5
22 SepHHeart of Midlothian FC3 - 5L
19 SepHEdinburgh City1 - 3L
19 SepHEdinburgh City1 - 3L
12 SepAClyde1 - 4L
05 SepHAnnan Athletic2 - 1W
Montrose: last 5
22 SepAFormartine United2 - 3L
19 SepAEast Fife2 - 1W
19 SepAEast Fife2 - 1W
12 SepHCove Rangers2 - 1W
05 SepAPeterhead3 - 0W
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Kelty Hearts3 - 1Montrose
03 Mar 2026Montrose1 - 1Kelty Hearts
06 Dec 2025Kelty Hearts0 - 3Montrose
09 Aug 2025Montrose1 - 2Kelty Hearts
08 Mar 2025Kelty Hearts0 - 0Montrose
04 Jan 2025Montrose0 - 0Kelty Hearts
19 Oct 2024Kelty Hearts0 - 2Montrose
03 Aug 2024Montrose1 - 1Kelty Hearts
27 Apr 2024Kelty Hearts0 - 2Montrose
17 Feb 2024Montrose4 - 2Kelty Hearts
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0033.3%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3474.6%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.1032.3%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC