| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 39.8% | 58% | -17.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 78% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.2% | 78% | -25.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 58% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.1% | 29.3% | 39.6% |
| xgboost | 44.2% | 22.7% | 33.2% |
| logistic | 38.0% | 29.1% | 32.8% |
| Sabadell | Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1483 | 1656 |
| Surface Elo | 1483 | 1656 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Rest days | 8 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Albacete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Albacete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Vallecano | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Vallecano | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Lyon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Athletic Club | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Athletic Club | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.80 | 20.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |