OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-29

🎾 tennis_atp_vienna_open · Thursday 29 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · scheduled

Flavio Cobolli 1.80 19:00 0.60 Matteo Berrettini

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	54.8%	52%	+2.7%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	50.9%	49.0%
logistic	58.9%	41.1%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Flavio Cobolli	Matteo Berrettini
Elo (pre-match)	1909	1824
Surface Elo	1909	1824
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	0.60
Form trend	0.30	-0.60
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	3
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Flavio Cobolli: last 5

27 Oct	H	Grigor Dimitrov	2 - 1	W
24 Oct	H	Lorenzo Musetti	1 - 2	L
24 Oct	H	Lorenzo Musetti	1 - 2	L
23 Oct	H	Brandon Nakashima	2 - 1	W
23 Oct	A	Brandon Nakashima	2 - 1	W

Matteo Berrettini: last 5

26 Oct	H	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2 - 0	W
20 Oct	H	Kyrian Jacquet	0 - 2	L
20 Oct	A	Kyrian Jacquet	0 - 2	L
09 Oct	H	Brandon Nakashima	0 - 2	L
09 Oct	A	Brandon Nakashima	0 - 2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.93	51.8%	29 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.92	52.1%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.85	54.0%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.95	51.3%	29 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	2.00	50.0%	29 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.83	54.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.87	53.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.87	53.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.97	50.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.02	49.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Flavio Cobolli	1.98	50.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Matteo Berrettini	2.04	49.0%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.91	52.4%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.91	52.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.89	52.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.89	52.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.89	52.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.92	52.1%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.88	53.2%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.91	52.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.90	52.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.89	52.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.97	50.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.02	49.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Flavio Cobolli	1.98	50.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Matteo Berrettini	2.04	49.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.89	52.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.89	52.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.93	51.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.97	50.8%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.81	55.2%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.83	54.6%	29 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.92	52.1%	29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.92	52.1%	29 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.80	55.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.90	52.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.80	55.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.80	55.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.88	53.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.91	52.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.88	53.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.91	52.4%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.85	54.0%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.95	51.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.94	51.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.92	52.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Flavio Cobolli	1.88	53.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.84	54.4%	29 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:05 UTC