| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.4% | 52% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.3% | 81% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.7% | 72% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 53% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| xgboost | 51.6% | 24.0% | 24.4% |
| logistic | 56.3% | 24.4% | 19.3% |
| Cordoba | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1441 | 1420 |
| Surface Elo | 1441 | 1420 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 1.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.29 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 8 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 27 Sep | A | Valladolid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Valladolid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Dos Hermanas CF 1971 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | UD Tomares | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Albacete | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | CD San Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | CD Estepona | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Cadiz | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Cadiz | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Sep | H | UD Anaza | 3 - 2 | W |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Tenerife | 2 - 3 | Cordoba |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Cordoba | 3 - 0 | Tenerife |
| 09 Feb 2019 | Tenerife | 0 - 2 | Cordoba |
| 22 Sep 2018 | Cordoba | 1 - 1 | Tenerife |
| 11 Feb 2018 | Tenerife | 5 - 1 | Cordoba |
| 17 Sep 2017 | Cordoba | 2 - 0 | Tenerife |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 05 Oct 19:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 05 Oct 19:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 05 Oct 19:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 05 Oct 19:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 05 Oct 19:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.89 | 52.9% | 05 Oct 06:15 |