| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.0% | 39% | +8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 76% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.9% | 56% | +4.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 59% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.6% | 28.4% | 42.0% |
| xgboost | 36.3% | 23.5% | 40.1% |
| logistic | 33.6% | 33.6% | 32.9% |
| Cosenza | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1357 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1357 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 508 | 2703 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Bari | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 May | A | Spezia | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 May | H | Cesena | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 May | A | Sudtirol | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | ASD Sorrento 1945 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Inter | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 May | A | Verona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 May | H | Perugia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 May | H | Salernitana | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Mar 2019 | Foggia | 1 - 0 | Cosenza |
| 20 Oct 2018 | Cosenza | 2 - 0 | Foggia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.69 | 59.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |