| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.5% | 57% | -6.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.0% | 79% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.4% | 75% | -9.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 60% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 24.4% | 22.3% | 53.2% |
| xgboost | 30.2% | 23.3% | 46.5% |
| logistic | 23.8% | 27.5% | 48.7% |
| Le Mans | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1552 | 1736 |
| Surface Elo | 1552 | 1736 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.78 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Troyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Troyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Toulouse | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Nordsjaelland | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Paris FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Paris FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 08 Nov 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 08 Nov 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 08 Nov 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 08 Nov 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.03 | 49.3% | 08 Nov 16:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.97 | 25.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.89 | 20.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |