| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.7% | 79% | -18.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 31.6% | 68.4% |
| logistic | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Alec Deckers | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1527 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1527 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 54 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Diogo Morais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Fellows, J | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Basing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Patrick Brady | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Martin Krumich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |