| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.4% | 36% | +9.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 75% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.5% | 50% | +8.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 47% | +20.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.6% | 31.4% | 28.0% |
| xgboost | 24.0% | 29.6% | 46.4% |
| logistic | 31.5% | 27.9% | 40.6% |
| Eibar | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Oviedo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Real Oviedo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | CD San Ignacio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Albacete | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Albacete | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Almeria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Mar 2020 | Eibar | 1 - 2 | Mallorca |
| 17 Aug 2019 | Mallorca | 2 - 1 | Eibar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |