OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 11:30 UTC · abandoned
Crawley Town 0.20 11:30 1.80 Barnet
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.5%58%-2.3%abandoned
DCHome or away 78.9%81%-2.4%abandoned
DNBAway (DNB) 73.0%75%-2.1%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.2%65%-5.7%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 56.6%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.6%23.9%52.5%
xgboost24.3%16.0%59.7%
logistic18.6%25.7%55.7%
Inputs the models saw
Crawley TownBarnet
Elo (pre-match)13191588
Surface Elo13191588
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.80
Form trend0.10-0.60
Season points per game0.003.00
Season goals for / game0.003.00
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 1 D
Crawley Town: last 5
22 SepAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 4L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
12 SepHCheltenham1 - 3L
05 SepAAccrington2 - 3L
Barnet: last 5
19 SepHFleetwood Town3 - 1W
19 SepHFleetwood Town3 - 1W
12 SepHAccrington2 - 1W
05 SepAChesterfield3 - 3D
01 SepAExeter1 - 1D
Head to head
17 Mar 2026Crawley Town1 - 1Barnet
01 Jan 2026Barnet2 - 1Crawley Town
13 Jan 2018Crawley Town2 - 0Barnet
23 Sep 2017Barnet1 - 2Crawley Town
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7357.8%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1024.4%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.2523.5%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5464.9%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC