| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.6% | 88% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 87.8% | 12.2% |
| logistic | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| Franco Roncadelli | Juan Sebastian Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Ramos Vargas, Ricardo Sebastian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Gomez, Diego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Nicolas Hollender | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |