OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-24
🎾 ATP Challenger Saint Tropez, France Men Singles · Thursday 24 September 2026, 10:50 UTC · finished
Edas Butvilas 1.80 0 - 2 1.80 Harold Mayot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win selected61.0%48%+13.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov47.3%52.7%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost31.7%68.3%
logistic46.3%53.7%
Inputs the models saw
Edas ButvilasHarold Mayot
Elo (pre-match)16731708
Surface Elo16731708
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend-0.300.30
Season points per game3.002.00
Season goals for / game2.001.67
Season goals against / game0.001.00
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Edas Butvilas: last 5
22 SepAGrigor Dimitrov2 - 0W
21 SepHHarold Mayot0 - 2L
21 SepHGrigor Dimitrov2 - 0W
07 SepHMax Basing0 - 2L
07 SepHMiguel Tobon2 - 0W
Harold Mayot: last 5
22 SepHJustin Boulais2 - 1W
22 SepHSascha Gueymard Wayenburg1 - 2L
21 SepHTitouan Droguet0 - 2L
21 SepHMurphy Cassone2 - 1W
21 SepHJesper De Jong2 - 1W
Head to head
21 Sep 2026Edas Butvilas0 - 2Harold Mayot
17 Mar 2025Edas Butvilas1 - 2Harold Mayot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1047.6%24 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%24 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC