| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.3% | 24% | +21.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 84% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.7% | 32% | +26.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 68% | -8.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 21.3% | 24.1% | 54.6% |
| xgboost | 44.9% | 23.3% | 31.8% |
| logistic | 37.8% | 28.8% | 33.4% |
| Elgin | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1392 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1392 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Clyde | 6 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Clyde | 6 - 2 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Peterhead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | St Johnstone | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | St Johnstone | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Banks O´Dee FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Hibernian | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |