OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
Hoffenheim 1.20 3 - 0 2.60 Bayer Leverkusen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.7%44%+3.1%✗ miss
DCHome or away 78.1%78%+0.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 58.3%58%+0.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66.1%73%-6.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 64.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.0%22.2%48.8%
xgboost37.3%21.0%41.7%
logistic32.5%27.0%40.4%
Inputs the models saw
HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
Elo (pre-match)16241757
Surface Elo16241757
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.202.60
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game1.002.17
Season goals for / game1.832.67
Season goals against / game2.331.50
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Hoffenheim: last 5
22 OctHLyon3 - 0W
18 OctABorussia M´gladbach2 - 1W
18 OctABorussia Mönchengladbach2 - 1W
18 OctHSC Verl2 - 1W
15 OctHBesiktas2 - 3L
Bayer Leverkusen: last 5
22 OctAOFI Crete2 - 0W
18 OctHFreiburg2 - 1W
18 OctHFreiburg2 - 1W
15 OctAKKS Lech Poznan4 - 0W
10 OctAMainz4 - 3W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Hoffenheim1 - 0Bayer Leverkusen
23 Aug 2025Bayer Leverkusen1 - 2Hoffenheim
02 Feb 2025Bayer Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
14 Sep 2024Hoffenheim1 - 4Bayer Leverkusen
30 Mar 2024Bayer Leverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
04 Nov 2023Hoffenheim2 - 3Bayer Leverkusen
11 Feb 2023Hoffenheim1 - 3Bayer Leverkusen
20 Aug 2022Bayer Leverkusen0 - 3Hoffenheim
07 May 2022Hoffenheim2 - 4Bayer Leverkusen
15 Dec 2021Bayer Leverkusen2 - 2Hoffenheim
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.0050.0%25 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%25 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2home3.3030.3%25 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3375.2%25 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.4029.4%25 Oct 14:30
SportyBet1X2away2.1945.7%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1624.0%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0932.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3176.3%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.6027.8%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:23 UTC