| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.0% | 65% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.5% |
| logistic | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Anna Bondar | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Kimberly Birrell | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Madison Keys | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Caroline Dolehide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Polina Iatcenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Clara Tauson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Anna Bondar | 2 - 1 | Renata Zarazua |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 21 Sep 06:15 |