| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.3% | 61% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.6% | 37.4% |
| xgboost | 62.9% | 36.3% |
| logistic | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.62 | 3.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.92 | 2.83 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 6 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 6 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Calgary Flames | 6 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 7 - 4 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 6 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 7 - 1 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 27 Nov 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 4 | Ottawa Senators |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 4 | Ottawa Senators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 27 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 27 Oct 23:20 |