OgaOods

form, quantified 路 picks with an edge
Back to 馃彃 Ice hockey on 2026-11-15
馃彃 NHL 路 Sunday 15 November 2026, 00:00 UTC 路 scheduled
Tampa Bay Lightning 0.80 00:00 0.20 Detroit Red Wings
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.3%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson58.8%26.6%
xgboost73.4%25.6%
logistic63.6%36.4%
Inputs the models saw
Tampa Bay LightningDetroit Red Wings
Elo (pre-match)15951405
Surface Elo15951405
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.20
Form trend0.100.20
Season points per game0.670.37
Season goals for / game3.942.68
Season goals against / game3.113.11
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W3 W 路 0 D
Tampa Bay Lightning: last 5
12 NovABuffalo Sabres8 - 3W
08 NovAWinnipeg Jets3 - 4L
08 NovAMinnesota Wild4 - 3W
06 NovHChicago Blackhawks4 - 1W
04 NovHDetroit Red Wings4 - 2W
Detroit Red Wings: last 5
11 NovASt. Louis Blues2 - 3L
08 NovAColorado Avalanche0 - 4L
06 NovHVegas Golden Knights1 - 2L
04 NovATampa Bay Lightning2 - 4L
03 NovAFlorida Panthers5 - 3W
Head to head
04 Nov 2026Tampa Bay Lightning4 - 2Detroit Red Wings
13 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Lightning4 - 3Detroit Red Wings
12 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning4 - 1Detroit Red Wings
28 Nov 2025Detroit Red Wings3 - 6Tampa Bay Lightning
17 Oct 2025Detroit Red Wings2 - 1Tampa Bay Lightning
11 Apr 2025Tampa Bay Lightning3 - 4Detroit Red Wings
08 Feb 2025Detroit Red Wings3 - 6Tampa Bay Lightning
26 Jan 2025Detroit Red Wings2 - 0Tampa Bay Lightning
19 Jan 2025Tampa Bay Lightning5 - 1Detroit Red Wings
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-11-12 21:53 UTC