| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.0% | 29% | +20.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 75% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.1% | 40% | +22.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 49% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.4% | 27.7% | 34.9% |
| xgboost | 31.3% | 24.8% | 43.8% |
| logistic | 27.3% | 29.4% | 43.3% |
| Sheffield Utd | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1682 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1682 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Brighton & Hove Albion U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Blackburn | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Swansea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Swansea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Bristol City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Preston | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Southampton | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.49 | 28.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.18 | 45.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.81 | 55.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |