| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.3% | 72% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.1% | 66.9% |
| logistic | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Jake Delaney | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1478 | 1542 |
| Surface Elo | 1478 | 1542 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.71 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Yi Zhou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Ajeet Rai | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Naoya Honda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |