| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.1% | 32% | +14.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 75% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.0% | 46% | +15.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 73% | -16.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 56.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.7% | 28.6% | 37.7% |
| xgboost | 51.5% | 22.7% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 31.4% | 20.0% |
| Athens Kallithea | Panionios | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1462 | 1447 |
| Surface Elo | 1462 | 1447 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 538 | 2303 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | AE Larissa FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Nestos Chrysoupoli FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 14 Oct | A | Olympiacos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Panthrakikos FC Komotini | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Panserraikos | 5 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | GS Marko | 0 - 4 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Niki Volou 1924 PAE | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Oct | H | PAOK | 3 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Pas Pyrgos | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 2.85 | 35.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.80 | 35.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.37 | 73.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |