| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.4% | 51% | -9.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.7% | 77% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.9% | 67% | -14.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 66% | +0.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.3% | 23.3% | 25.3% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 20.4% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 28.3% | 28.6% | 43.1% |
| Crystal Palace | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1634 | 1628 |
| Surface Elo | 1634 | 1628 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Newport County | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Tottenham | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Tottenham | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Fulham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Newcastle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | FC Koln | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 | 1 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.86 | 25.9% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.08 | 24.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |